net adjusted for 6max knockout sng

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net adjusted for 6max knockout sng

Postby vankammen » Thu Aug 24, 2017 7:35 am

hi

i dont think the net adjusted stat is correct for 6max knockout sit & gos.
i have uploaded a single hand where in the first hand I have Aces and villain has 22. I loose the lineup and bust as 6th.

The buyin is 3$. And a knockout is worth 1.41$. So the total buyin
is divided as: 1.41 (prizepool) + 1.41 (bounty) + 0.18 (rake)

Now in PT4:

My C Net won: -3$ (correct)
My C Net adjusted : +0.86$. (seems widely inaccurate)

AcAd vs 2d2h has a win probability of 0.8222.

If we loose we have obv lost 3$. But now look at the situation when we
win.

We have already won a bounty of 1.41$. And the stack distribution is roughly:

1000 (hero)
500
500
500
500

Our equity in the prizepool is now 30.3% which is 2.54$. And this takes not into affect that with our stack the chances of winning future bounties also has increased. ( so its already an underestimation)

So to sum it up: what are we expected to win in this tournament:

0.178 * -3 + 0.822 * ( 1.41 + 2.54) = 2.71$

Seems like a big difference then wat PT4 calculates. Whats your take on this?
vankammen
 
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Re: net adjusted for 6max knockout sng

Postby vankammen » Thu Aug 24, 2017 8:16 am

ive made a mistake: pt4 shows the ev adjusted to be 1.67$. But still an enormous difference with the 2.71$ i calculated. ( the payout structure is: 50% 50% 0% 0% 0% 0% )
vankammen
 
Posts: 37
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Re: net adjusted for 6max knockout sng

Postby Flag_Hippo » Thu Aug 24, 2017 4:00 pm

Please attach the hand history and tournament summary file for that tournament to a Support Ticket so we can take a look.
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Re: net adjusted for 6max knockout sng

Postby vankammen » Thu Aug 24, 2017 4:46 pm

i made a ticket with HH.
vankammen
 
Posts: 37
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Re: net adjusted for 6max knockout sng

Postby rnieko » Wed Oct 18, 2017 2:29 pm

How was this resolved? I have played 15k of such games and PT4 also shows lower EV than HM2 for example. Was wondering which of the two is more correct.
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Re: net adjusted for 6max knockout sng

Postby Flag_Hippo » Thu Oct 19, 2017 6:04 am

This was resolved with the release of PokerTracker v4.14.27. This won't correct any tournaments already in your database but should fix newly imported tournaments. You can re-run auto detect (in the Edit Tournament Results window) on the existing tournaments to update the calculations, but if that doesn't update them then you can purge and re-import previous tournaments to correct the results.
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